Dance with Chance: Making Luck Work for You af Spyros Makridakis, Robin Hogarth, Anil Gaba

Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions Titel: Thinking in bets : making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts

Human existence is based upon risk. This text charts the adventures of a group of thinkers who embarked on a voyage of intellectual discovery, transforming primeval superstition into the powerful tools of risk control employed today.One of the foremost financial writers of his generation, Peter Bernstein has the unique ability to synthesize intellectual history and economics with the theory and practice of investment management With the stock market breaking records almost daily, leaving longtime market analysts shaking their heads and revising their forecasts, a study of the concept of risk seems quite timely. Peter Bernstein has written a comprehensive history of man's efforts to understand risk and probability, beginning with early gamblers in ancient Greece, continuing through the 17th-century French mathematicians Pascal and Fermat and up to modern chaos theory. Along the way he dem

Bagsideteksten beskriver, hvordan mennesker konstant må træffe valg og vurdere risiko. Investorer, virksomheder og andre aktører er afhængige af at kunne beregne sandsynligheder for succes og fiasko. Peter L. Bernstein fortæller i denne bog historien om de ideer og personer, der gjorde det muligt at gå fra tro på forsyn og skæbne til et fremsyn baseret på matematik og statistik. Han skildrer blandt andet tænkere som Pascal, Bernoulli, Bayes og Keynes og viser, hvordan deres teorier om sandsynlighed, risiko og usikkerhed har formet moderne finans, økonomi og beslutningsteori. Bogen forklarer også, hvorfor forståelse af risiko er central for at kunne navigere i markedsøkonomien. Type: Hardcover Dansk udgave af Peter L. Bernsteins fagbog om risikoens historie. Bogen gennemgår, hvordan mennesker gennem tiderne har forsøgt at forstå, måle og styre risiko – fra skæbnetro og krystalkugler til s

Good luck isn't just chance, it can be learned and leveraged, and The Serendipity Mindset explains how to use serendipity to make life better at work, at home-everywhere. Most of us think that the important decisions and events in our lives happen by chance, that they're out of our control. Often we think that successful people-and successful companies and organizations-are simply luckier than the rest of us. Good fortune-serendipity-just seems to happen to them. But is that true? Are some people naturally luckier than others? Or are they better at creating the conditions for coincidence to arise and taking advantage of them when they do? How can we connect the dots of seemingly random events to improve our lives? In The Serendipity Mindset, Christian Busch explains that serendipity isn't about luck in the sense of randomness. It's about seeing what others don't, combining these observat

A science-backed guide for navigating and thriving through uncertainty—based on interviews and insights from world-renowned innovators, entrepreneurs, artists, and creatives. Whether you're starting or running a business, searching for new ideas, or trying to advance in your career, you're likely to grapple with the unknown and unpredictable—every day. Though these moments can be difficult and uncomfortable, they also offer opportunities for personal growth, innovation, and creativity. In The Upside of Uncertainty, INSEAD professor Nathan Furr and entrepreneur Susannah Harmon Furr provide a panoramic guide to transforming uncertainty into a force for good. Drawing from hundreds of interviews, along with pioneering research in psychology, innovation, and behavioral economics, Nathan and Susannah provide over thirty tools for adopting a more positive view of what's happening, developing a

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future -- Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we often fail to foresee hugely significant events -- In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times'" political forecaster and statistics guru Nate Silver explores the art of prediction, revealing how we can all build a better crystal ball -- In his quest to distinguish the true signal from a universe of noisy data, Silver visits hundreds of expert forecasters, in fields ranging from the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to terrorism -- What lies behind their success? -- And why do so many predictions still fail? -- By analysing the rare prescient forecasts, and applying a more quantitative lens to everyday life, Silver distils the essenti

Now available: Nudge: The Final Edition The original edition of the multimillion-copy New York Times bestseller by the winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, Richard H. Thaler, and Cass R. Sunstein: a revelatory look at how we make decisions—for fans of Malcolm Gladwell’s Blink, Charles Duhigg’s The Power of Habit, James Clear’s Atomic Habits, and Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking, Fast and Slow Named a Best Book of the Year by The Economist and the Financial Times Every day we make choices—about what to buy or eat, about financial investments or our children’s health and education, even about the causes we champion or the planet itself. Unfortunately, we often choose poorly. Nudge is about how we make these choices and how we can make better ones. Using dozens of eye-opening examples and drawing on decades of behavioral science research, Nobel Prize winner Richard H. Thaler and Harvard Law Sc

A Fractal View of Risk, Ruin and Reward Includes material on the market crisis. This book presents models where the complex gyrations of the FTSE 100 and exchange rates can be reduced to straightforward formulae that yield a much more accurate description of the risks involved Forlag: Profile Books Udgivelsesår: 2008 Sider: 326 Sprog: Engelsk